The expert with no ties to industry! It would help if each experts ties to industry were transparent to the general public. In this way a person can decide for themselves whom to trust.
I'd like to share my basic epistemic standards for choosing an expert. None are sufficient unto themselves and none are perfect or absolute, but these guidelines have worked for me.
1. He must have great formal credentials. This could be degrees, papers, peer reviews, discoveries, respect etc. Could even be a science writer with a long history of honesty and accuracy.
2. She must have as few (or no) known biases and/or conflicts of interest. It's pretty obvious I should not ask Pfizer if their vaccine is safe.
3. He/she must display scientific integrity and be humble before the facts of reality. This means a) remaining open to evidence and willingness to admit error b) stay within his own sphere of competence (historians are not scientists) c) willingness to explain his position in layman's terms without invoking "authority." (I believe Feynman said if you cannot explain your science to a five year old, you don't really know it.)
And, as Julius demonstrates, all must mesh consistently with what you are sure is true.
I think "intubate if Flu, not if Covid" has got it wrong, imo. The problem is you shouldn't intubate during a cytokine storm. That applies to Flu as much as with Covid. During the 1918 H1N1 flu pandemic, most of the deaths were caused by cytokine storms. "Do not intubate during a cytokine storm, whether it be Flu or Covid", would be my medical recommendation. I would go one step further: "Do not intubate at all". The original paper from Wuhan advising that you must use ventilators early in the course of treatment to have any chance of saving the patient led to the world panicking and launching a ventilator genocide.
I thought RSV disappeared because of lockdown? And Flu disappearance might also have been lockdown because Flu R0 is 1 -2, whereas Covid is 2-3 (at the time), though I think that's unlikely.
I this point I don't even trust our Doctors...
The expert with no ties to industry! It would help if each experts ties to industry were transparent to the general public. In this way a person can decide for themselves whom to trust.
Very fine essay!
I'd like to share my basic epistemic standards for choosing an expert. None are sufficient unto themselves and none are perfect or absolute, but these guidelines have worked for me.
1. He must have great formal credentials. This could be degrees, papers, peer reviews, discoveries, respect etc. Could even be a science writer with a long history of honesty and accuracy.
2. She must have as few (or no) known biases and/or conflicts of interest. It's pretty obvious I should not ask Pfizer if their vaccine is safe.
3. He/she must display scientific integrity and be humble before the facts of reality. This means a) remaining open to evidence and willingness to admit error b) stay within his own sphere of competence (historians are not scientists) c) willingness to explain his position in layman's terms without invoking "authority." (I believe Feynman said if you cannot explain your science to a five year old, you don't really know it.)
And, as Julius demonstrates, all must mesh consistently with what you are sure is true.
So, how can I trust our so call Govn.
ONE BIG NO
Read about the “flu burden” statistic, which, for some reason, is the number they tell people for flu deaths. It has a weird formula.
Let's say we accept covid is not just influenza rebranded.
That still doesn't mean covid19 is caused by a novel virus.
An example in this stat
Only 6,183 people died solely of COVID-19 in England & Wales
And only 833 under 60s.
https://nakedemperor.substack.com/p/only-6183-people-died-solely-of-covid
I think "intubate if Flu, not if Covid" has got it wrong, imo. The problem is you shouldn't intubate during a cytokine storm. That applies to Flu as much as with Covid. During the 1918 H1N1 flu pandemic, most of the deaths were caused by cytokine storms. "Do not intubate during a cytokine storm, whether it be Flu or Covid", would be my medical recommendation. I would go one step further: "Do not intubate at all". The original paper from Wuhan advising that you must use ventilators early in the course of treatment to have any chance of saving the patient led to the world panicking and launching a ventilator genocide.
Surely the simplest proof that Flu had disappeared was that they didn't see it in the genomic sequencing?
I thought RSV disappeared because of lockdown? And Flu disappearance might also have been lockdown because Flu R0 is 1 -2, whereas Covid is 2-3 (at the time), though I think that's unlikely.
ONE BIG NO